$TLS
TELOS CORP · Small cap ($357M) · $4.78 before its last report
The odds on earnings
Next report estimated around Nov 9, 2026. Based on 22 reports since 2021.
- Fell after each of its last 3 reports.
- Moved 10% or more on 50% of its 22 reports (typical for its size: 24%).
- Typical earnings move is 10%, about 1.5× a typical small cap.
Careful: Low-priced stock ($4.78); options and spreads are usually thin.
- Typical move
- 10%
- Moved 10%+
- 50%
- Moved 20%+
- 36%
- Went up
- 27%
- In the opening gap
- 60%
- Streak
- 3 down
- Best day
- +63%
- Worst day
- −69%
A typical small cap moves 7% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 24% of reports.
After its 11 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 9% of the time.
Every report
| Date | Move | At the open | Next 5 days | Next 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026during day | −15.7% | −20.7% | +7.6% | +17.4% |
| Apr 30, 2026after close | −2.3% | −0.5% | +2.0% | +7.7% |
| Mar 16, 2026during day | −3.7% | +21.0% | +7.0% | −7.4% |
| Nov 10, 2025during day | +21.6% | +11.3% | −21.7% | −26.3% |
| Aug 11, 2025during day | +62.6% | +20.6% | +44.1% | +57.3% |
| May 9, 2025during day | −20.0% | +4.1% | +33.8% | +35.6% |
| Mar 10, 2025during day | −9.2% | −2.8% | +2.9% | −2.1% |
| Nov 12, 2024during day | −7.7% | −7.7% | −16.8% | −8.3% |
| Aug 9, 2024during day | −46.9% | −16.4% | +38.0% | +59.0% |
| May 10, 2024during day | +1.2% | +10.4% | +5.5% | +19.9% |
| Mar 15, 2024during day | +25.7% | +5.7% | −1.1% | −9.3% |
| Nov 9, 2023during day | −0.7% | +9.2% | +20.2% | +34.4% |
| Aug 9, 2023during day | +11.7% | +6.5% | −14.5% | −11.0% |
| Mar 16, 2023during day | −33.3% | −24.7% | +10.6% | +17.8% |
| Nov 9, 2022during day | −68.8% | −27.5% | +23.6% | +22.0% |
| Aug 9, 2022during day | −0.5% | +4.6% | +3.9% | +20.4% |
| May 10, 2022during day | −1.6% | 0.0% | +5.9% | +33.5% |
| Mar 1, 2022after close | −2.9% | +1.1% | −9.9% | −17.1% |
| Nov 15, 2021during day | −28.1% | −30.4% | +5.3% | −2.5% |
| Aug 17, 2021after close | +5.1% | +2.1% | +19.0% | +25.0% |
| May 18, 2021after close | −14.4% | −5.4% | +5.4% | +15.2% |
| Mar 2, 2021after close | −3.6% | −0.4% | −7.6% | +6.7% |
Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.
Government contract awards (3)
- $37.8Mair force22.9%Aug 28, 2026 · 22.9% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −15.6% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $32.5Mair force13.4%Dec 30, 2022 · 13.4% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −7.6% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $34.3Mair force19.1%Dec 16, 2021 · 19.1% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −6.4% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
History, not predictions. Not investment advice.