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$TGEN

TECOGEN INC. · Micro cap ($120M) · $4.01 before its last report

The odds on earnings

Next report estimated around Nov 12, 2026. Based on 8 reports since 2021.

  1. Typical earnings move is 16%, about 2.3× a typical micro cap.
  2. Moved 10% or more on 63% of its 8 reports (typical for its size: 23%).
  3. One in 4 reports moved it 20%+.

Careful: Low-priced stock ($4.01); options and spreads are usually thin.

Typical move
16%
Moved 10%+
63%
Moved 20%+
25%
Went up
38%
In the opening gap
39%
Streak
2 up
Best day
+20%
Worst day
−30%

A typical micro cap moves 7% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 23% of reports.

After its 5 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 40% of the time.

Every report

DateMoveAt the openNext 5 daysNext 20 days
Aug 13, 2026after close+4.5%−6.2%−20.3%−22.4%
May 13, 2026after close+19.9%−9.0%+5.5%+9.9%
Mar 18, 2026after close−29.6%−0.4%+42.1%+83.8%
Nov 13, 2025after close−6.0%−2.8%−7.1%−20.3%
Aug 13, 2025after close−2.4%+24.0%−2.4%−21.8%
May 13, 2025after close+16.2%0.0%+9.7%+52.0%
Mar 18, 2025after close−16.3%+0.4%+18.7%−4.5%
Mar 11, 2021during day−21.2%+1.9%+3.5%−0.4%

Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.

History, not predictions. Not investment advice.