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$PEGA

PEGASYSTEMS INC · Mid cap ($5.9B) · $36.23 before its last report

The odds on earnings

Next report estimated around Feb 10, 2027. Based on 24 reports since 2021.

  1. Fell after each of its last 4 reports.
  2. Typical earnings move is 11%, about 1.9× a typical mid cap.
  3. Moved 10% or more on 54% of its 24 reports (typical for its size: 18%).

Careful: Next report date is estimated from last year’s schedule; confirm it before relying on it.

Typical move
11%
Moved 10%+
54%
Moved 20%+
8%
Went up
54%
In the opening gap
71%
Streak
4 down
Best day
+36%
Worst day
−20%

A typical mid cap moves 6% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 18% of reports.

After its 12 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 50% of the time.

Every report

DateMoveAt the openNext 5 daysNext 20 days
Oct 21, 2026after close−2.9%−2.2%−1.2%…
Jul 22, 2026after close−16.0%−18.2%+20.9%+27.8%
Apr 22, 2026after close−4.6%+4.3%−3.2%−9.5%
Feb 11, 2026after close−11.9%−9.2%+18.1%+18.7%
Oct 22, 2025after close+15.0%+9.8%−4.8%−13.6%
Jul 23, 2025after close+13.9%+0.6%+5.3%−10.1%
Apr 23, 2025after close+28.8%+28.6%+1.6%+5.6%
Feb 13, 2025after close−19.6%−5.9%−5.0%−5.3%
Oct 24, 2024after close+14.7%+11.9%+0.2%+5.2%
Jul 25, 2024after close+12.8%+7.2%+1.1%+0.7%
Apr 25, 2024after close+0.3%−4.9%−2.1%−0.8%
Feb 15, 2024after close+35.7%+20.5%−5.2%−8.8%
Oct 26, 2023after close+7.2%+6.4%+6.1%+18.7%
Jul 27, 2023after close−10.6%−1.9%−1.8%+3.0%
Apr 27, 2023after close+3.5%+0.8%−5.5%−0.8%
Feb 16, 2023after close+18.0%+11.1%−6.0%+4.0%
Oct 27, 2022after close+9.7%+7.2%−7.5%−1.0%
Jul 28, 2022after close−15.4%−19.4%−5.7%−12.9%
Apr 29, 2022after close+6.9%+6.2%−9.2%−35.6%
Feb 17, 2022after close−15.6%−11.9%+2.3%−6.3%
Oct 28, 2021after close−4.9%−3.0%−2.6%−0.6%
Jul 29, 2021after close−7.0%+0.7%+0.3%+6.7%
Apr 29, 2021after close−1.3%+4.0%−4.3%−4.3%
Feb 18, 2021after close+1.0%+0.4%−7.8%−23.6%

Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.

Government contract awards (1)

  1. $419Marmy
    24.0%Oct 29, 2026 · 24.0% of last year’s revenue · announcement

History, not predictions. Not investment advice.