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$ORCL

ORACLE CORP · Large cap ($440.5B) · $152.94 before its last report

The odds on earnings

Next report estimated around Dec 10, 2026. Based on 23 reports since 2021.

  1. Typical earnings move is 9%, about 1.8× a typical large cap.
  2. About 100% of its move usually happens in the opening gap, before you can react.

Careful: Next report date is estimated from last year’s schedule; confirm it before relying on it.

Typical move
9%
Moved 10%+
43%
Moved 20%+
4%
Went up
43%
In the opening gap
100%
Streak
2 down
Best day
+36%
Worst day
−13%

A typical large cap moves 5% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 11% of reports.

After its 11 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 64% of the time.

Every report

DateMoveAt the openNext 5 daysNext 20 days
Sep 11, 2026after close−1.7%+7.5%−0.4%−2.4%
Jun 11, 2026after close−8.5%−10.7%−1.9%−29.6%
Mar 11, 2026after close+9.2%+11.4%−3.7%−19.0%
Dec 11, 2025after close−10.8%−14.5%−6.3%+1.4%
Sep 10, 2025after close+35.9%+32.2%−9.5%−16.7%
Jun 12, 2025after close+13.3%+7.7%+4.1%+9.8%
Mar 11, 2025after close−3.1%−3.6%+2.2%−0.9%
Dec 10, 2024after close−6.7%−8.9%−2.4%−4.7%
Sep 10, 2024after close+11.4%+10.3%+2.1%+7.0%
Jun 12, 2024after close+13.3%+8.7%+3.7%−1.2%
Mar 12, 2024after close+11.7%+10.6%+2.7%−2.5%
Dec 12, 2023after close−12.4%−10.8%−2.1%+0.4%
Sep 12, 2023after close−13.5%−11.5%+4.2%+4.1%
Jun 13, 2023after close+0.2%+5.9%+6.4%−1.9%
Mar 10, 2023after close−3.2%−2.8%+4.2%+11.9%
Dec 13, 2022after close−0.9%+4.5%+5.1%+8.2%
Sep 13, 2022after close−1.3%−1.3%−8.1%−10.0%
Jun 14, 2022after close+10.4%+12.4%−5.0%−1.5%
Mar 11, 2022after close+1.5%+0.1%−0.4%+3.6%
Dec 10, 2021after close+15.6%+17.5%−4.0%−10.9%
Sep 14, 2021after close−2.8%−3.0%+1.8%+10.0%
Jun 16, 2021after close−5.6%−4.5%+1.8%+17.6%
Mar 11, 2021after close−6.5%−6.2%+2.0%+16.6%

Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.

Government contract awards (2)

  1. $3.3Bnavy
    4.9%Jul 23, 2026 · 4.9% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +12.7% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
  2. $9.0Bwashington headquarters services
    21.2%Dec 7, 2022 · 21.2% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +9.6% vs the S&P 500 · announcement

History, not predictions. Not investment advice.