$NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. · Small cap ($651M) · $3.58 before its last report
The odds on earnings
Next report estimated around Nov 10, 2026. Based on 13 reports since 2021.
- Typical earnings move is 16%, about 2.2× a typical small cap.
- Moved 10% or more on 62% of its 13 reports (typical for its size: 24%).
- One in 3 reports moved it 20%+.
Careful: Low-priced stock ($3.58); options and spreads are usually thin.
- Typical move
- 16%
- Moved 10%+
- 62%
- Moved 20%+
- 38%
- Went up
- 62%
- In the opening gap
- 55%
- Streak
- 1 up
- Best day
- +28%
- Worst day
- −29%
A typical small cap moves 7% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 24% of reports.
After its 7 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 29% of the time.
Every report
| Date | Move | At the open | Next 5 days | Next 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026after close | +9.5% | +16.8% | −1.2% | +12.4% |
| May 6, 2026after close | −16.3% | −21.1% | +42.5% | +52.3% |
| Mar 18, 2026after close | +2.6% | +2.9% | +0.1% | −9.4% |
| Feb 12, 2026after close | −23.2% | −17.0% | −3.9% | +10.8% |
| Jan 6, 2026during day | +15.7% | +1.4% | −3.3% | −23.2% |
| Nov 11, 2025after close | +20.8% | +16.3% | −21.5% | +4.3% |
| Nov 13, 2024after close | −28.9% | −3.5% | +5.3% | +33.1% |
| Nov 8, 2023after close | +27.9% | +4.4% | −12.4% | −27.9% |
| Aug 8, 2023during day | −2.6% | +7.4% | +7.5% | +1.9% |
| Mar 8, 2023after close | −4.8% | +4.8% | −18.5% | −31.7% |
| Nov 15, 2022after close | +21.6% | +0.3% | +7.4% | −18.3% |
| Aug 8, 2022during day | +10.5% | +6.9% | +5.8% | +5.3% |
| May 17, 2022after close | +3.4% | −0.4% | +24.2% | −6.9% |
Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.
History, not predictions. Not investment advice.