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$KLC

KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. · Small cap ($572M) · $4.83 before its last report

The odds on earnings

Next report estimated around Nov 12, 2026. Based on 8 reports since 2021.

  1. Fell after each of its last 8 reports.
  2. Typical earnings move is 21%, about 2.9× a typical small cap.
  3. Moved 10% or more on 75% of its 8 reports (typical for its size: 24%).

Careful: Low-priced stock ($4.83); options and spreads are usually thin.

Typical move
21%
Moved 10%+
75%
Moved 20%+
50%
Went up
0%
In the opening gap
79%
Streak
8 down
Smallest drop
−8%
Worst day
−46%

A typical small cap moves 7% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 24% of reports.

After its 6 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 50% of the time.

Every report

DateMoveAt the openNext 5 daysNext 20 days
Aug 14, 2026after close−46.2%−26.5%+7.5%−2.8%
May 15, 2026after close−8.0%+4.8%−13.7%−7.1%
Mar 13, 2026after close−42.6%−37.9%+11.9%+45.6%
Nov 13, 2025after close−19.2%−24.0%−2.0%+6.7%
Aug 13, 2025after close−22.3%−28.5%−7.3%−3.6%
May 14, 2025after close−8.5%−4.2%−5.0%−15.7%
Mar 21, 2025after close−22.2%−16.3%−11.5%−9.4%
Nov 21, 2024after close−15.0%−3.5%+19.6%−4.1%

Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.

History, not predictions. Not investment advice.