$HYLN
Hyliion Holdings Corp. · Small cap ($700M) · $3.92 before its last report
The odds on earnings
Next report estimated around Nov 11, 2026. Based on 13 reports since 2021.
- About 88% of its move usually happens in the opening gap, before you can react.
Careful: Low-priced stock ($3.92); options and spreads are usually thin.
- Typical move
- 4%
- Moved 10%+
- 31%
- Moved 20%+
- 8%
- Went up
- 31%
- In the opening gap
- 88%
- Streak
- 1 down
- Best day
- +34%
- Worst day
- −14%
A typical small cap moves 7% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 24% of reports.
After its 4 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 75% of the time.
Every report
| Date | Move | At the open | Next 5 days | Next 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026after close | −0.8% | +29.8% | −5.3% | +3.2% |
| May 13, 2026after close | +34.0% | +6.3% | +14.9% | +106.5% |
| Nov 12, 2025during day | −12.8% | −11.5% | −8.4% | −0.0% |
| Nov 15, 2024after close | −2.7% | +6.9% | +46.7% | +12.7% |
| Mar 1, 2023after close | 0.0% | −0.7% | −13.2% | −23.5% |
| Nov 9, 2022before open | −8.7% | −4.2% | +20.9% | +11.7% |
| Aug 10, 2022after close | +4.3% | −5.0% | −10.1% | −26.4% |
| May 10, 2022after close | +4.3% | +6.7% | +4.8% | +18.8% |
| Feb 24, 2022before open | +18.5% | −6.5% | −7.8% | +3.4% |
| Nov 10, 2021before open | −14.0% | −15.3% | −3.2% | −10.1% |
| Aug 11, 2021after close | −3.4% | +0.3% | −7.8% | −7.0% |
| May 12, 2021after close | −3.4% | −0.4% | +14.2% | +37.2% |
| Feb 24, 2021before open | −1.4% | +1.2% | −6.0% | −25.4% |
Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.
Government contract awards (2)
- $41.7Mnavy1200.0%Jul 21, 2026 · 1200.0% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −4.6% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $16.0Mnavy2376.9%Sep 4, 2024 · 2376.9% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +35.3% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
History, not predictions. Not investment advice.