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$CLF

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. · Mid cap ($6.9B) · $12.12 before its last report

The odds on earnings

Next report estimated around Feb 8, 2027. Based on 25 reports since 2021.

  1. Typical earnings move is 9%, about 1.5× a typical mid cap.

Careful: Next report date is estimated from last year’s schedule; confirm it before relying on it.

Typical move
9%
Moved 10%+
40%
Moved 20%+
4%
Went up
52%
In the opening gap
71%
Streak
2 up
Best day
+21%
Worst day
−16%

A typical mid cap moves 6% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 18% of reports.

After its 11 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 73% of the time.

Every report

DateMoveAt the openNext 5 daysNext 20 days
Oct 19, 2026during day+16.3%+17.2%−7.2%…
Jul 23, 2026during day+16.0%+12.9%+5.9%−3.9%
Apr 20, 2026during day−2.1%−10.1%+9.1%+10.1%
Feb 9, 2026during day−16.4%−11.1%−13.1%−17.4%
Oct 20, 2025during day+21.5%+17.3%−15.8%−26.0%
Jul 21, 2025during day+12.4%+6.4%+4.4%−3.7%
May 8, 2025after close−15.8%−8.1%+0.5%+1.0%
Feb 4, 2025after close+8.0%+0.1%+8.0%+3.6%
Nov 5, 2024after close−11.4%−6.9%−2.7%−0.3%
Jul 23, 2024after close+4.4%+2.0%−5.7%−17.4%
Apr 23, 2024after close−11.0%−4.5%−7.6%−10.5%
Jan 30, 2024after close+6.6%−2.8%+0.2%−1.5%
Oct 24, 2023after close+8.9%+4.9%+8.4%+1.6%
Jul 25, 2023after close+6.5%+3.0%−1.0%−8.8%
Apr 12, 2023after close−1.7%+0.9%−7.6%−16.8%
Feb 14, 2023after close+1.5%−4.1%+0.1%−3.7%
Oct 25, 2022during day−7.9%−10.4%−9.7%+5.4%
Jul 22, 2022during day−8.9%−0.2%+9.1%+5.5%
Apr 22, 2022during day−2.1%+5.9%−7.9%−16.1%
Feb 11, 2022during day−9.7%−6.8%+1.8%+37.0%
Oct 22, 2021during day+12.7%+4.4%+0.8%−10.3%
Jul 22, 2021during day−0.5%−4.6%+16.2%+13.0%
Apr 22, 2021during day+0.2%+3.3%−1.1%+8.8%
Feb 25, 2021during day−14.7%−3.3%−2.7%+6.0%
Jan 25, 2021during day+1.1%+4.2%−3.5%−1.7%

Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.

Government contract awards (1)

  1. $400Mdefense logistics agency
    2.1%Jul 1, 2026 · 2.1% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +21.3% vs the S&P 500 · announcement

History, not predictions. Not investment advice.