$AVAV
AeroVironment Inc · Mid cap ($7.1B) · $140.80 before its last report
The odds on earnings
Next report estimated around Dec 9, 2026. Based on 23 reports since 2021.
- About 81% of its move usually happens in the opening gap, before you can react.
Careful: Next report date is estimated from last year’s schedule; confirm it before relying on it.
- Typical move
- 7%
- Moved 10%+
- 39%
- Moved 20%+
- 13%
- Went up
- 52%
- In the opening gap
- 81%
- Streak
- 2 up
- Best day
- +28%
- Worst day
- −16%
A typical mid cap moves 6% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 18% of reports.
After its 8 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 50% of the time.
Every report
| Date | Move | At the open | Next 5 days | Next 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026after close | +4.4% | +4.2% | +11.6% | −3.2% |
| Jun 30, 2026after close | +18.8% | +27.0% | −2.1% | −9.9% |
| Mar 11, 2026after close | −6.2% | −7.7% | +6.4% | −18.2% |
| Dec 10, 2025after close | −12.9% | −6.1% | −3.9% | +46.4% |
| Sep 10, 2025after close | +7.0% | +0.4% | +8.8% | +60.3% |
| Jun 25, 2025after close | +21.6% | +15.8% | +0.5% | +10.0% |
| Mar 5, 2025after close | −4.4% | −22.4% | −6.9% | −4.0% |
| Dec 5, 2024after close | −15.9% | −11.1% | −5.7% | +4.3% |
| Sep 5, 2024after close | −5.3% | −1.6% | +1.1% | +7.1% |
| Jun 27, 2024after close | −7.7% | −8.2% | −4.5% | −13.3% |
| Mar 5, 2024after close | +27.9% | +15.3% | −3.7% | −13.4% |
| Dec 6, 2023after close | −10.2% | −5.9% | −5.0% | −12.2% |
| Sep 6, 2023after close | +20.7% | +18.8% | −1.0% | +0.7% |
| Jun 28, 2023after close | +4.9% | +5.9% | +2.7% | −5.7% |
| Mar 7, 2023after close | +4.2% | +5.1% | +6.8% | +16.9% |
| Dec 7, 2022after close | −3.2% | +4.1% | +6.1% | +5.2% |
| Sep 8, 2022after close | +14.9% | −0.8% | −6.1% | −17.4% |
| Jun 29, 2022after close | −4.6% | −9.5% | +6.8% | +0.5% |
| Mar 4, 2022after close | +1.7% | +4.1% | +3.0% | +22.3% |
| Dec 8, 2021after close | +6.1% | −4.3% | +6.4% | +5.4% |
| Sep 9, 2021after close | −12.8% | −0.1% | −4.5% | −5.4% |
| Jun 30, 2021after close | −8.8% | −3.9% | −0.1% | +3.6% |
| Mar 10, 2021after close | +2.1% | +1.4% | +9.8% | +7.7% |
Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.
Government contract awards (19)
- $500Marmy25.3%Jul 1, 2026 · 25.3% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −17.9% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $117Marmy14.3%Jun 3, 2026 · 14.3% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +0.7% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $17.6Marmy2.1%Mar 20, 2026 · 2.1% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −9.4% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $117Marmy14.3%Mar 20, 2026 · 14.3% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −9.4% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $24.0Mnavy2.9%Feb 2, 2026 · 2.9% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −14.3% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $54.9Marmy7.7%Sep 26, 2024 · 7.7% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +8.7% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $990Marmy138.1%Aug 27, 2024 · 138.1% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −3.2% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $13.7Mnavy2.5%Jun 17, 2024 · 2.5% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −25.2% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $32.1Marmy5.9%Apr 26, 2024 · 5.9% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +21.5% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $32.1Marmy5.9%Dec 29, 2023 · 5.9% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −6.1% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $65.4Marmy12.1%Dec 22, 2023 · 12.1% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −7.9% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $16.1Mnavy3.0%Nov 27, 2023 · 3.0% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −10.0% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $12.1Marmy2.2%Jul 21, 2023 · 2.2% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +0.6% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $18.9Marmy4.2%Jun 23, 2023 · 4.2% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: +2.1% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
- $86.4Marmy19.4%Nov 9, 2022 · 19.4% of last year’s revenue · 20 days later: −7.6% vs the S&P 500 · announcement
History, not predictions. Not investment advice.