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$AENT

ALLIANCE ENTERTAINMENT HOLDING CORP · Micro cap ($281M) · $5.51 before its last report

The odds on earnings

Next report estimated around Nov 12, 2026. Based on 9 reports since 2021.

  1. Typical earnings move is 14%, about 1.9× a typical micro cap.
  2. Moved 10% or more on 67% of its 9 reports (typical for its size: 23%).
  3. About 95% of its move usually happens in the opening gap, before you can react.

Careful: Next report date is estimated from last year’s schedule; confirm it before relying on it.

Typical move
14%
Moved 10%+
67%
Moved 20%+
11%
Went up
33%
In the opening gap
95%
Streak
1 up
Best day
+34%
Worst day
−19%

A typical micro cap moves 7% on earnings on average and hits 10%+ on 23% of reports.

After its 5 biggest moves (10%+ against the Russell 2000), the stock kept going over the next week 60% of the time.

Every report

DateMoveAt the openNext 5 daysNext 20 days
Sep 11, 2026after close+16.5%+31.9%−20.3%−27.3%
May 15, 2026after close−11.8%0.0%−10.8%−27.4%
Feb 13, 2026after close−13.8%−16.8%−13.2%+29.0%
Nov 13, 2025after close+0.3%+5.3%+1.3%+1.1%
Sep 11, 2025after close−15.1%−2.9%+17.4%+10.3%
Feb 14, 2025after close−19.1%−29.2%−7.4%−6.2%
Sep 20, 2024after close+33.8%+20.6%+0.2%+13.9%
May 23, 2023before open−2.8%+0.5%−6.3%+10.8%
Apr 13, 2023after close0.0%0.0%−21.6%+2.9%

Next 5 and 20 days are compared with the Russell 2000 (IWM), starting from the earnings-day close.

History, not predictions. Not investment advice.